tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4790592486214429033.post5622746604319070955..comments2024-03-16T01:45:48.775-07:00Comments on Election '08: Data and Pictures: A changing electorate?Tomhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/10450260399089308141noreply@blogger.comBlogger4125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4790592486214429033.post-14519304027028763712008-02-28T15:16:00.000-08:002008-02-28T15:16:00.000-08:00Jlazarus,Your conclusion would seem to follow from...Jlazarus,<BR/><BR/>Your conclusion would seem to follow from the data. Unfortunately, I can't get at the change in the in old, white, male share of the electorate in the aggregated exit poll data.<BR/><BR/>-TomTomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10450260399089308141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4790592486214429033.post-48904680396124657652008-02-27T21:45:00.000-08:002008-02-27T21:45:00.000-08:00The three strong trends -- that young, African Ame...The three strong trends -- that young, African American, and female voters make up a larger share of the Democratic electorate in 2008 than 2004 -- can all be be explained by a single (hypothetical) cause. Older white men who participated in the 2004 Democratic primaries are not participating in the 2008 Democratic primaries. This would necessarily drive up the proportion of the other groups. <BR/><BR/>The explanation fits Occam's razor. Any systematic evidence for this?rmlazarushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12248105735530214196noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4790592486214429033.post-76956947711120786762008-02-26T19:50:00.000-08:002008-02-26T19:50:00.000-08:00Thanks. I hope you continue to find the data I pu...Thanks. I hope you continue to find the data I put here useful.<BR/><BR/>-TomTomhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/10450260399089308141noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-4790592486214429033.post-74832221539942292252008-02-26T11:10:00.000-08:002008-02-26T11:10:00.000-08:00Great post with some useful charts. I teach a vot...Great post with some useful charts. I teach a voting and elections class this semester, and am always on the lookout for interesting data to initiate discussion. <BR/><BR/>By the way, I came to your site via the Monkey Cage. Hope you keep up the good posting.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com